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Sportsbooks have analyzed many years of statistics of NFL football
and have seen some reoccurrences that winning NFL football teams have
in common. There is an old misconception among fans that a great
defense is needed to win at NFL football. The problem with that
philosophy is that your highly talented defensive teams would be worn
out due to being on the field too long. Also, a few key injuries to a
few skilled players can mean the difference between last and first.
On the offensive side, there are many football
fans that do not draw the distinction between what is a great offense
and what is a high powered one. Great offenses are ones that
consistently get the 15-25 play eight-minute scoring drive and can
also beat you with a 50-yard bomb.
Great offenses keep the other teams defenses off
the field time wise. One of the great offenses of modern day is the
1972 Miami Dolphins. Their offense played ball control and gained an
average of 5.6 yards per carry. The top four leading rushers on their
team gained over 5 yards per carry. The reason why their defense was
so successful was because they didn’t have to spend much time on the
field because their offense was out there most of the game. A more
accurate formula for measuring a successful offense would be to take
into account points per possession and average length of each
possession instead of the usual statistics showing average points per
game and time of possession.
As it turns out, the best defense is a great
offense that uses ball control. Long drives that scores points are the
best defense because it’s a lot easier to play defense with a big
lead when the other team’s options are limited. You can get great
defensive stats when you have a great ball control offense.
The most important thing for the great defensive
stat is that the offense has to stay healthy. When a key offensive
player gets hurt most people falsely think that the game is going to
be lower scoring. Most teams have to compensate for this loss and have
to open it more. The same is true on defense. If a key defensive
middle linebacker gets hurt, it often means the other team will run
more. It could mean that the other team will have more success on
offense with ball control, have fewer possessions and score fewer
points.
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